From: Using scenario tree modelling for targeted herd sampling to substantiate freedom from disease
Risk factor (RF) | Farms exposed to RF | Definition of the risk involved |
---|---|---|
IBR | ||
Animal contacts ( AC ) | All farms which send their cattle, or part of it, to summer pastures (inside the country or across the border) and/or let their bovines participate in cattle shows | Physical contacts with potentially infected bovines from other farms |
Higher-than-average animal movements on farm ( AM ) | All farms having more cattle entries on farm per year than the yearly median value for their herd size category | Farms which purchase many bovines from outside have a higher risk of getting an IBR-positive animal into their herd than farms which do not purchase any cattle |
Farm close to the border with another country ( FcB ) | All cattle farms situated up to 5 km from the Swiss border and 500 m at most from a larger road (in this zone) | Uncontrolled contacts between potentially infected animals; airborne transmission of pathogens; veterinarians from neighbouring countries treating cattle (having contact with potentially IBR-infected animals); facilitated illegal importation of bovines |
High density of cattle farms in the vicinity ( hDH ) | All farms that have many (in our case >21) neighbouring farms within a radius of 1 km around their farm | Uncontrolled contacts between animals (over fences), or between animals and persons (neighbouring families, visitors...) |
Importation of cattle ( IC ) | All farms having imported cattle in their herds | Even though cattle destined for importation must originate from IBR-free herds, or, in the case of non-IBR-free countries, have to be tested for IBR, an introduction of the disease through cattle importation can never be excluded |
EBL | ||
Higher-than-average animal movements on farm ( AM ) | All farms that have more cattle entries on farm per year than the yearly median value for their herd size category | Farms which purchase many bovines from outside, have a higher risk of getting an EBL-positive animal in their herd than farms which do not purchase any cattle |
Importation of cattle ( IC ) | All farms having imported cattle in their herds | Even though cattle destined for importation must originate from EBL-free herds, or, in the case of non-EBL-free countries, have to be tested for EBL, an introduction of the disease through cattle importation can never be excluded |
Summer pasture with animals from other herds ( SP ) | All farms which send their cattle, or part of it, on summer pastures (inside the country or across the border) | This risk factor implicates lengthy physical contacts between animals from different herds and therefore makes a transmission of EBL from one bovine to another possible; cattle are exposed to biting and stinging insects in the summer season (→ transmission of infected lymphocytes) |