Table 3 GAM investigating seasonality, time trend in the time-series and effect of commodity price
From: Evaluation of Swiss slaughterhouse data for integration in a syndromic surveillance system
Peak month | Trough month | Model | Time trend | Commodity | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Price effect | |||||||||||
Nb. slaughters | Nb. condemn | Nb. slaughters | Nb. condemn | Nb. slaughters | Nb. condemn | Nb. slaughters | Nb. condemn | Nb. slaughters | Nb. condemn | ||
Pigs | N | December | December | May | July | ARMA(7,0) | ARMA(0,0) | Yes ↑↓ | Yes ↑ | Yes | No |
E | January | December | July | July | ARMA(0,0) | ARMA(0,0) | Yes ↑ | No | - | - | |
Cattle | N | March | December | July | January | ARMA(3,2) | ARMA(1,0) | Yes ↑ | No | Yes | No |
E | March | March | Nov | Nov | ARMA(3,0) | ARMA(0,0) | Yes ↓ | Yes ↑ | - | - | |
Small ruminants | N | March | June | July | February | ARMA(2,1) | ARMA(0,0) | No | No | No | No |
E | March | June | August | November | ARMA(0,0) | ARMA(0,0) | Yes ↑↓ | Yes ↑↓ | - | - | |