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Table 3 Ordered list of country at highest risk per pathway using different categorization methods (NB: Jenks Natural Breaks, Q: Quantiles, GI: Geometric Interval; MNB: Manual Natural Breaks; RS: Risk Score)

From: Modular framework to assess the risk of African swine fever virus entry into the European Union

Pathway

Categorization method

Countries with RS 5

Countries with RS 4

Countries that underwent changes in risk order

New countries with RS 5

New countries with RS 4

Legal pigs

NB

Sweden > Slovenia

Finland > Greece > France

   
 

Q

Sweden > Slovenia

Finland > Greece > France > Poland

0

0

1

 

GI

Sweden > Slovenia

Finland > Greece > France > Poland > UK > Germany

0

0

4

Legal products

NB

Bulgaria

Romania > Germany

   
 

Q

Bulgaria > Romania > Germany > UK > France

Ireland > Italy > Netherlands > Spain

0

4

4

 

GI

Bulgaria > Romania > Germany > UK > France

Ireland > Italy > Netherlands > Spain > Poland > Denmark

0

4

6

Illegal

NB

Italy > UK > Germany

Spain > France

 

3

 
 

Q

Italy > UK > Germany

Spain > France > Greece

0

3

1

 

GI

Italy > UK > Germany

Spain > France > Greece > Finland > Sweden

0

3

3

 

MNB

-

UK > Germany > France > Italy

2

−3

−1

TAF

NB

-

Poland > Lithuania

   
 

Q

-

Poland > Finland > Lithuania

1

0

1

 

GI

-

Poland > Finland > Lithuania

1

0

1

Wild boar

NB

Finland

Romania > Latvia > Poland

   
 

Q

Finland > Romania

Latvia > Poland

0

1

−1

 

GI

Finland > Romania

Latvia

0

1

−2