Table 3 Parameters in the LSD dynamics model.
Dynamics | Inputs | Values | References | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Transmission dynamics | Population Inputs | Size of population | 18070500 | [25] |
Number of initial infections | 1 | Expert Opinion | ||
Basic Reproduction Number R0 Measure of contagiousness: the number of secondary infections each infected individual produces. | 0.87 | [12] | ||
Transmission Times | Length of the incubation period | 28 (day) | [31] | |
Duration patient is infectious | 35 (day) | [31] | ||
Clinical Dynamics | Mortality Statistics | Case fatality rate | 9.52 (%) | [18] |
Time from end of incubation to death | 4-6 (weeks) | [15] | ||
Recovery Times | Recovery Times Length of hospital stay | 4-6 (weeks) | [15] | |
Recovery time for mild cases | 4-6 (weeks) | [15] | ||
Care statistics | Hospitalization rate | 71.48(%) | Calculated From Data Set | |
Time to hospitalization | 30-45 (day) | Expert Opinion | ||