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Table 5 Sensitivity ranking for the likelihood of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rate in different poultry types not detected by surveillance in six epidemic waves in the backyard poultry (B2)

From: A quantitative risk assessment to evaluate the efficacy of mitigation strategies to reduce highly pathogenic avian influenza virus, subtype H5N1 (HPAI H5N1) in the Menoufia governorate, Egypt

Sensitivity Ranking

Variables

Correlation coefficient values

1

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 Prevalence rates in reservoir poultry in backyard

0.80

2

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 Prevalence rates in mixed poultry in backyard

0.63

3

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 Prevalence rates in domestic chicken in backyard

0.60

4

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 Prevalence rates in Backyard (B2) in each EW (Domestic chicken)

0.46

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 Prevalence rates in Backyard (B2) in each EW (Mixed poultry)

0.40

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 Prevalence rates in Backyard (B2) in each EW (Reservoir poultry)

0.37

5

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rates in poultry in each epidemic wave (Domestic chicken)

0.28

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rates in poultry in each epidemic wave (Mixed poultry)

0.25

The probability of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rates in poultry in each epidemic wave (Reservoir poultry)

0.22

6

The probability of H5N1 Prevalence rates in domestic chicken due to failure in detection by active surveillance in backyard

−0.16

7

The probability of H5N1 Prevalence rates in mixed poultry due to failure in detection by passive surveillance in backyard

−0.14

8

The probability of H5N1 Prevalence rates in domestic chicken due to failure in detection by passive surveillance in backyard

−0.03

9

The probability of H5N1 Prevalence rates in mixed poultry due to failure in detection by active surveillance in backyard

−0.01

10

The probability of H5N1 Prevalence rates in reservoir poultry due to failure in detection by active surveillance in backyard

−0.01

11

The probability of H5N1 Prevalence rates in reservoir poultry due to failure in detection by passive surveillance in backyard

0.00