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Table 4 Output summary statistics for the likelihood of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rate in different poultry types not detected by surveillance in six epidemic waves in Backyard poultry (B2)

From: A quantitative risk assessment to evaluate the efficacy of mitigation strategies to reduce highly pathogenic avian influenza virus, subtype H5N1 (HPAI H5N1) in the Menoufia governorate, Egypt

@RISK

Output statistics

Probability of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rate in domestic chicken not detected by passive or active surveillance in six epidemic waves

(EW (1–6))

in Backyard poultry (B2)

Probability of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rate in mixed poultry not detected by passive or active surveillance in six epidemic waves

(EW (1–6))

in Backyard poultry (B2)

Probability of HPAI-H5N1 prevalence rate in reservoir poultry not detected by passive or active surveillance in six epidemic waves (EW (1–6)) in

Backyard birds poultry (B2)

Minimum

0.0001

0.0001

0.0001

Maximum

7.08 × 10−01

1.06 × 10− 03

1.11 × 10− 01

Mean

1.48 × 10−3

16.8 × 10−3

4.94 × 10−3

SD

3.69 × 10− 01

3.26 × 10− 01

8.34 × 10− 03

5%

0.0001

0.0001

0.0001

95%

3.29 × 10−3

2.83 × 10− 3

2.08 × 10− 3