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Table 5 GEE prediction of probability of a positive ELISA test result (≥ 50 EU in any one of 4 ELISA tests conducted in parallel) for primiparous compared to multiparous cows over 4 years of whole herd testing for MAP infection on a NZ pastoral dairy farm over 4 seasons (2013–2017)

From: Control of Mycobacterium avium subsp. paratuberculosis infection on a New Zealand pastoral dairy farm

Predicted probability (95% CI) of testing ELISA positive

Season

Primiparous

Multiparous

p-value of difference

2013–2014

15.7% (11.1–22.1)

42.8% (37.1–49.4)

< 0.001

2014–2015

3.8% (2.1–6.8)

15.6% (12.8–19.0)

< 0.001

2015–2016

7.8% (5.0–11.9)

8.1% (6.4–10.3)

0.870

2016–2017

2.6% (1.2–5.3)

2.6% (1.7–4.0)

0.946