Table 1 Average probabilities (with 95% confidence intervals) of each of the pathogens (in row) to be the etiological cause of a disease episode or a disease episode in a cycle of production. Note that the probabilities do not necessarily sum to 1 by row because they are averages by episode and cycle of production. Note also that the probabilities averaged by episode can be compared to the mean of the score of the 3 independent experts
From: Assessing antimicrobial misuse in small-scale chicken farms in Vietnam from an observational study
Pathogen | Episode | Cycle of production | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model | 95% CI | Expert opinion | Model | 95% CI | |
Infectious Bursal Disease virus | 0.162 | 0.113–0.210 | 0.101 | 0.303 | 0.101–0.506 |
Avian Metapneumovirus | 0.105 | 0.064–0.145 | 0.014 | 0.194 | 0.044–0.345 |
Erysipelothrix rhusiopathiae | 0.079 | 0.044–0.115 | 0.009 | 0.147 | 0.044–0.251 |
Gallibacterium anatis | 0.073 | 0.039–0.107 | 0.008 | 0.137 | 0.030–0.244 |
Mycoplasma gallisepticum | 0.068 | 0.035–0.101 | 0.074 | 0.127 | 0.029–0.225 |
Salmonella Pullorum | 0.068 | 0.035–0.101 | 0.042 | 0.127 | 0.042–0.213 |
Marek’s Disease virus | 0.057 | 0.026–0.087 | 0.059 | 0.105 | 0.000–0.219 |
Salmonella Gallinarum | 0.043 | 0.016–0.069 | 0.028 | 0.080 | 0.028–0.133 |
Infectious Laringotracheitis virus | 0.038 | 0.013–0.063 | 0.022 | 0.036 | 0.007–0.064 |
Clostridium perfringens (necrotic) enteritis) | 0.038 | 0.013–0.063 | 0.059 | 0.071 | 0.004–0.138 |
Escherichia coli (colibacillosis) | 0.034 | 0.011–0.058 | 0.106 | 0.063 | 0.023–0.102 |
Newcastle Disease virus | 0.034 | 0.010–0.057 | 0.079 | 0.064 | 0.000–0.133 |
Chlamydia psittaci | 0.034 | 0.010–0.057 | 0.006 | 0.063 | 0.016–0.111 |
Staphylococcus aureus | 0.032 | 0.009–0.054 | 0.024 | 0.059 | 0.013–0.105 |
Chicken Anaemia virus | 0.031 | 0.008–0.053 | 0.022 | 0.057 | 0.016–0.098 |
Pasteurella multocida (acute) (fowlcholera) | 0.025 | 0.004–0.045 | 0.035 | 0.047 | 0.003–0.091 |
Ornithobacterium rhinotracheale | 0.023 | 0.003–0.042 | 0.025 | 0.042 | 0.007–0.077 |
Listeria monocytogenes | 0.012 | 0.000–0.026 | 0.009 | 0.022 | 0.000–0.043 |
Infectious Bronchitis virus | 0.011 | 0.000–0.024 | 0.060 | 0.020 | 0.008–0.033 |
Avian Encephalomielitis virus | 0.009 | 0.000–0.021 | 0.011 | 0.008 | 0.000–0.016 |
Avibacterium paragallinarum | 0.008 | 0.000–0.020 | 0.031 | 0.015 | 0.000–0.032 |
Eimeria spp. | 0.006 | 0.000–0.017 | 0.038 | 0.012 | 0.003–0.022 |
Pasteurella multocida (chronic) | 0.005 | 0.000–0.015 | 0.011 | 0.010 | 0.000–0.020 |
Pseudomonas spp. | 0.005 | 0.000–0.014 | 0.011 | 0.009 | 0.000–0.018 |
Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza virus | 0.002 | 0.000–0.008 | 0.113 | 0.004 | 0.000–0.011 |