Fig. 6From: Temporal and spatial distribution of lumpy skin disease outbreaks in Ethiopia in the period 2000 to 2015The original LSD outbreak time series (2000–2015) and predicted for the next three years (2016–2018) using ARIMA (1,1,1) x (1,1,1)12 model. The black line represents the original LSD outbreak time series and the blue line the forecasted value. The dark grey shaded area indicate the 80% confidence interval and the light grey 95% confidence interval of the predicted valuesBack to article page