Table 1 The area under the ROC curve (AUC) based on the calculated posterior mean for the PRRS outbreaks in the farms of second half of 2014 for autoregressive parameter driven model and calculated deviance information criteria (DIC). “std” is the abbreviation for standardize matrix

1/i ~ j

0.83

−5540.065

PT _ji

0.88

−5382.211

(PT _ji  /m _i ) . i ~ j

0.86

NA^a

(stdPT _ji  /m _i ) . stdi ~ j

0.78

−5540.059

PT _ji  . i ~ j

Not converged

Not converged