Table 1 Sensitivity of IDEA model estimates to alternate assumptions regarding the PEDV generation time and degree of under-reporting of cases

Base case

1.87 (1.52 - 2.34)

0.06 (0.02 - 0.12)

10-day generation time

3.34 (2.28 - 4.47)

0.19 (0.09 - 0.40)

13-day generation time

4.92 (3.07 – 6.01)

0.30 (0.13 – 0.66)

Outbreak 25% under-reported

2.21 (1.78 – 2.81)

0.16 (0.11 - 0.27)

Outbreak 50% under-reported

2.8 (2.21 – 3.65)

0.12 (0.06 – 0.19)