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Table 3 Average proper scores for the one-step-ahead predictions for the number of laboratory test requests from 1) the joint model accounting for the lagged number of reported abortions, and 2) the univariate model not accounting for the number of reported abortions

From: Methodological challenges to multivariate syndromic surveillance: a case study using Swiss animal health data

 

With abortion

 

Without abortion

 

Mean (p-value)

 

Mean (p-value)

RPS

3.71 (0.088)

 

3.74 (0.09)

LS

3.27 (0.002)

 

3.28 (0.003)

DSS

4.93 (0.002)

 

4.93 (0.003)