Fig. 1From: Evaluation of temporal surveillance system sensitivity and freedom from bovine viral diarrhea in Danish dairy herds using scenario tree modellingStochastic scenario tree representing the BVD surveillance system for Danish dairy herds. PrPImpoCattle and PrPNoImpoCattle = proportion of dairy herds within the ImpoCattle and NoImpoCattle category, respectively. EPIImpoCattle and EPINoImpoCattle = effective probability of infection for the ImpoCattle and NoImpoCattle category. PTRImpoCattle and PTRNoImpoCattle = probability that the threshold prevalence is reached within the milking paddock at 90 or 365 days from BVDV introduction within herds of the ImpoCattle and NoImpoCattle category. Se = Expected sensitivity of the antibody ELISA used (Danish blocking ELISA or SVANOVIR) on BTM, when the threshold prevalence of seropositive milking cows is reachedBack to article page