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Table 3 Viral shedding HVT vaccination: median and 95% credible intervals for the posterior distribution of the four parameters for both replicates of the HVT vaccinated factorial study for different virulence scores, v.

From: Modelling Marek's Disease Virus (MDV) infection: parameter estimates for mortality rate and infectiousness

   

VIRULENCE SCORE

  

PARAMETER

16.5

36

46

 

Rep 1

Rep 2

Rep 1

Rep 2

Rep 1

Rep 2

1 Latent Period

(days)

5 (0,6)

2 (0,6)

6 (4,6)

6 (2,6)

3 (0,6)

3 (0,6)

2 Latent Period

(days)

12 (8,17)

10 (7,13)

11 (8,14)

12 (8,16)

10 (6,13)

9 (6,13)

1 Shedding Rate

(logVCN/mg dust)

3.79 (3.34,4.20)

2.44 (1.93,3.02)

4.58 (4.19,4.92)

4.56 (4.13,4.91)

2.70 (2.16,3.42)

4.15 (3.58,4.82)

2 Shedding Rate

(logVCN/mg dust)

6.83 (6.61,7.04)

6.35 (6.18,6.52)

7.49 (7.28,7.70)

7.53 (7.31,7.75)

7.50 (7.32,7.67)

7.29 (7.11,7.46)

  1. The numbers in brackets are the 95% credible intervals.